Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 3.758019 4.003658 4.268645 4.577867 4.931594 5.327097 5.807846
2025-06-01 3.370940 3.691086 4.055438 4.507490 5.063377 5.739285 6.648557
2025-06-08 3.103904 3.471328 3.907542 4.476999 5.223228 6.205224 7.671740
2025-06-15 2.917271 3.321883 3.820214 4.501447 5.449996 6.803109 9.074763
2025-06-22 2.704107 3.117156 3.638971 4.376240 5.450499 7.084365 10.121433
2025-06-29 2.504856 2.912493 3.436864 4.195783 5.340060 7.170735 10.882578
2025-07-06 2.367268 2.776407 3.312422 4.107701 5.351181 7.455460 12.190998
2025-07-13 2.327642 2.764781 3.353239 4.260030 5.761897 8.555383 16.222093
2025-07-20 2.263150 2.714021 3.333685 4.317417 6.025499 9.478434 21.125799
2025-07-27 2.248936 2.730115 3.409404 4.531369 6.611897 11.383008 35.379653
2025-08-03 2.211603 2.710371 3.429496 4.656008 7.061328 13.270436 67.779607
2025-08-10 2.138665 2.634882 3.358869 4.616665 7.166966 14.272077 126.006092
2025-08-17 2.025409 2.503204 3.205275 4.438686 6.991620 14.465753 237.951030
2025-08-24 1.943125 2.413248 3.111725 4.360615 7.032912 15.545343 NaN
2025-08-31 1.876455 2.342965 3.044600 4.324185 7.169323 17.238635 NaN
2025-09-07 1.826173 2.294322 3.008499 4.341786 7.449022 20.131213 NaN
2025-09-14 1.753435 2.208306 2.906140 4.221206 7.345931 20.942085 NaN
2025-09-21 1.676483 2.112827 2.783292 4.050120 7.076835 20.496441 NaN
2025-09-28 1.621103 2.048024 2.707734 3.966191 7.033940 21.639936 NaN
2025-10-05 1.610147 2.050352 2.743291 4.107721 7.672151 30.209710 NaN
2025-10-12 1.584369 2.028329 2.736032 4.160612 8.075016 40.179658 NaN
2025-10-19 1.582670 2.043616 2.793554 4.359500 9.061769 84.564295 NaN
2025-10-26 1.567671 2.036882 2.811765 4.475003 9.837967 282.638357 NaN